It has been reported that the number of high-value cyber fraud cases in India has increased dramatically in the financial year 2024, which has increased more than fourfold and has resulted in losses totalling more than $20 million, according to government reports. An increase of almost fourfold demonstrates the escalating threat cybercrime is posing in one of the fastest-growing economies of the world today.
The rapid digitisation of Indian society has resulted in hundreds of millions of financial transactions taking place every day through mobile apps, UPI platforms, and online banking systems, making India an ideal target for sophisticated fraud networks. There are alarming signs that these scams are rapidly expanding in size and complexity, outpacing traditional enforcement and security measures at an alarming rate, according to experts.
Even though the country has increasingly embraced digital finance, cyber infrastructure vulnerabilities pose a growing threat, not only to domestic users but also to the global cybersecurity community. In the year 2024, cybercrime is expected to undergo a major change, marked by an unprecedented surge in online scams fueled by the rapid integration of artificial intelligence (AI) into criminal operations, causing a dramatic rise in the number of cybercrime incidents in the next decade.
It is becoming increasingly evident that the level of technology-enabled fraud has reached alarming levels, eroded public confidence in digital systems, and caused substantial financial damage to individuals across the country, indicating that the Indian Cyber Crime Coordination Centre (I4C) paints a grim picture for India — just in the first six months of this year, Indians lost more than $11,000 crore to cyber fraud.
There are a staggering number of cybercrime complaints filed on the National Cyber Crime Reporting Portal every day, suggesting that the scale of the problem is even larger than what appears at first glance. According to these figures, daily losses of approximately $60 crore are being sustained, signalling a greater focus on cybersecurity enforcement and awareness among the general public.
These scams have become more sophisticated and harder to detect as a result of the integration of artificial intelligence, making it much more urgent to implement systemic measures to safeguard digital financial ecosystems.
The digital economy of India, now considered the world's largest in terms of value, is experiencing a troubling increase in cybercrime, as high-value fraud cases increased dramatically during fiscal year 2024.
Data from the official government indicates that cyber fraud has resulted in financial losses exceeding $177 crore (approximately $20.3 million), which is a more than twofold increase from the previous fiscal year.
An equally alarming trend is the sharp increase in the number of significant fraud cases, which are those involving a lakh or more, which has increased from 6,699 in FY 2023 to 29,082 in FY 2024.
With this steep increase in digital financial transactions occurring in the millions of cases each day, this demonstrates that India is experiencing increasing vulnerabilities in the digital space. The rapid transformation of India has been driven by affordable internet access, which costs just $11 per hour (about $0.13 per hour) for data packages.
A $1 trillion mobile payments market has been developed as a result of this affordability, which has been dominated by platforms like Paytm, Google Pay, and the Walmart-backed PhonePe. It is important to note, however, that the growth of this market has outpaced the level of cyber literacy in this country, leaving millions vulnerable to increasingly sophisticated fraud schemes.
The cybercriminals now employ an array of advanced techniques that include artificial intelligence tools and deepfake technologies, as well as impersonating authorities, manipulating voice calls, and crafting deceptive messages designed to exploit unsuspecting individuals.
Increasing digital access and cybersecurity awareness continue to pose a serious threat to individuals and financial institutions alike, raising concerns about consumer safety and long-term digital trust.
This is a striking example of how India is becoming more and more involved in cybercrime worldwide. In February 2024, a federal court in Montana, United States, sentenced a 24-year-old Haryanaan to four years in prison, in a case that has become increasingly controversial. In his role as the head of a sophisticated fraud operation, he swindled over $1.2 million from elderly Americans, including a staggering $150,000 from one individual.
Through deceptive pop-ups that claimed to offer tech support, the scam took advantage of victims' trust by tricking them into granting remote access to their computers. Once the fraudsters gained control of the victim's computer, they manipulated the victim into handing over large amounts of money, which were then collected by coordinated in-person pickups throughout the U.S.
This case is indicative of a deeper trend in India's changing digital landscape, which can be observed across many sectors.
It is widely believed that India’s technology sector was once regarded as a world-class provider of IT support services. However, the industry is facing a profound shift due to a combination of automation, job saturation, and economic pressures, exacerbated by the COVID-19 pandemic. Due to these challenges, a shadow cybercrime economy has emerged that is a mirror image of the formal outsourcing industry in terms of structure, technical sophistication, and international reach, just like the formal outsourcing industry.
It has become evident over the years that these illicit networks have turned India into one of the key nodes in the global cyber fraud chain by using call centers, messaging platforms, and AI-powered scams – raising serious questions about how technology-enabled crime is being regulated, accountable, and what socio-economic factors are contributing to its growth.
A rise in the sophistication of online scams in 2024 has been attributed to the misuse of artificial intelligence (AI), resulting in a dramatic expansion of both their scale and psychological impact as a result of this advancement.
Fraudsters are now utilising AI-driven tools to create highly convincing content that is designed to deceive and exploit unsuspecting victims by using a variety of methods, from manipulating voices and cloning audio clips to realistic images and deepfake videos.
It has been troubling to see the rise of artificial intelligence-assisted voice cloning, a method of fabricating emergency scenarios and extorting money by using the voices of family members, close acquaintances, and others as their voices.
A remarkable amount of accuracy has been achieved with these synthetic voices, allowing emotional manipulation to be effected more easily and more effectively than ever before. It was found in one high-profile case that scammers impersonated Sunil Mittal's voice so that they could mislead company executives into transferring money.
It is also becoming increasingly common for deepfake technology to be used to create videos of celebrities and business leaders that have been made up using artificial intelligence.
These AI tools have made it possible to spread fraudulent content online and are often free of charge. It was reported that prominent personalities like Anant Ambani, Virat Kohli, and MS Dhoni were targeted with deepfake videos being circulated to promote a fake betting application, misinforming thousands of people and damaging public trust through their actions.
Increasing accessibility and misuse of artificial intelligence tools demonstrate that cybercrime tactics have shifted dangerously, as traditional scams are evolving into emotionally manipulative, convincing operations that use a visual appeal to manipulate the user. As a result of the rise of artificial intelligence-generated deception, law enforcement agencies and tech platforms are challenged to adapt quickly to counter these emerging threats as a result of the wave of deception generated by AI.
During the last few years, the face of online fraud has undergone a radical evolution. Cybercriminals are no longer relying solely on poorly written messages or easily identifiable hoaxes, as they have developed techniques that are near perfection now. A majority of malicious links being circulated today are polished and technically sound, often embedded within well-designed websites with a realistic login interface that is very much like a legitimate platform's, along with HTTPS encryption.
In the past, these threats were relatively easy to identify, but they have become increasingly insidious and difficult to detect even for the digitally literate user. There is an astonishing amount of exposure to these threats. Virtually every person with a cell phone or internet access receives scam messages almost daily. It's important to note that some users can avoid these sophisticated schemes, but others fall victim to these sophisticated schemes, particularly those who are elderly, who are unfamiliar with digital technology, or who are caught unaware.
There are many devastating effects of such frauds, including the significant financial toll, as well as the emotional distress, which can be long-lasting. Based on projections, there will be a dramatic 75% increase in the amount of revenue lost to cybercrime in India by 2025, a dramatic 75% increase from 2023. This alarming trend points to the need for systemic reform and a collaborative intervention strategy.
The most effective way of addressing this challenge is to change a fundamental mindset: cyber fraud is not a single issue affecting others; rather, it is a collective threat affecting all stakeholders in the digital ecosystem.
To respond effectively, telecom operators, financial institutions, government agencies, social media platforms, and over-the-top (OTT) service providers must all cooperate actively to coordinate the response.
There is no escaping the fact that cybercrimes are becoming more sophisticated and more prevalent. Experts believe that four key actions can be taken to dismantle the infrastructure that supports digital fraud.
First, there should be a centralised fraud intelligence bureau where all players in the ecosystem can report and exchange real-time information about cybercriminals so that swift and collective responses are possible.
Furthermore, each digital platform should develop and deploy tailored technologies to counter fraud, sharing these solutions across industries to protect users against fraud. Thirdly, an ongoing public awareness campaign should focus on educating users about digital hygiene, as well as common fraud tactics.
Lastly, there is a need to broaden the regulatory framework to include all digital service providers as well.
There are strict regulations in place for telecommunication companies, but OTT platforms remain almost completely unregulated, creating loopholes for fraudsters. As a result, Indian citizens will be able to begin to reclaim the integrity of their digital landscape as well as protect themselves from cybercrime that is escalating, through a strong combination of regulation, innovation, and education, as well as by working together with cross-sectoral collaboration.
In today's digitally accelerated and cyber-vulnerable India, it is imperative to develop a strategy for combating online fraud that is forward-looking and cohesive. It is no longer appropriate to simply respond to cyber incidents that have already occurred. Instead, a proactive approach must be taken to combat cybersecurity threats, where technology, policy, and public engagement all work in tandem to build cyber resilience.
As a result of this, security must be built into digital platforms, continuous threat intelligence is invested in, and targeted education campaigns are implemented to cultivate a national culture of cyber awareness.
To prevent fraud and safeguard user data, governments must accelerate the implementation of robust regulatory frameworks that hold all providers of digital services accountable. This includes all digital service providers, regardless of size or sector.
While the companies must prioritise cybersecurity not simply as a compliance checkbox, but as a business-critical pillar supported by dedicated infrastructure and real-time monitoring systems, they should not overlook it as just another compliance checkbox.
To anticipate the changes in the cybercrime playbook, there must be a collective will across industries, institutions, and individuals to be able to adapt.
To achieve the very promise of India's digital economy, users must transform cybersecurity from a reactive measure into a national imperative. This is a way to ensure that trust is maintained, innovations are protected, and the future of a truly digital Bharat is secured.